MARKET REGIME · 2026-09-01

Today's market regime

LIVE + SAMPLE FIELDS · updated Tue, 01 Sep 2026 04:52:41 GMT

High-Volatility Chopscore 45.88 · confidence 68%

Elevated vol without a clean trend — range/vol-selling structures (defined-risk) fit; chasing breakouts with long premium tends to donate theta.

VIX 14.43, trend -0.27, breadth 25%, 2s10s 0.2pp -> high_vol_chop (score 45.88, next best trending_bear at 34.69).

Snapshot

VIX

14.43

-0.55%

US Dollar Index

118.75

+0.33%

SPY · S&P 500 ETF

767.05

-0.30%

QQQ · Nasdaq-100 ETF

716.76

+0.05%

IWM · Russell 2000 ETF

293.93

-0.62%

TLT · 20+ Year Treasury ET

82.52

-0.43%

WTI Crude Oil

71.34

+0.48%

Gold

2632.25

-0.67%

Bitcoin

105643.20

+1.58%

Strategy families that fit this regime

Educational context, not a recommendation. Every idea still needs its own liquidity, catalyst and risk check.

Tends to fit

✓iron condor
✓short strangle (defined-risk wings)
✓calendar spread

Tends to fight the tape

⚠long straddle
⚠chasing breakouts with long calls

Macro calendar (8)

2026-09-02CPI (Consumer Price Index) · cons +0.2% m/m · prior +0.3% m/mHIGH

2026-09-04Initial Jobless Claims · cons 225k · prior 222kLOW

2026-09-05Nonfarm Payrolls (Jobs Report) · cons +165k · prior +180kHIGH

2026-09-06Core PCE Price Index · cons +0.2% m/m · prior +0.2% m/mHIGH

2026-09-0710-Year Treasury Note Auction · cons Bid-to-cover ~2.5x · prior 2.56xMEDIUM

2026-09-12GDP (Advance Estimate) · cons +2.1% annualized · prior +2.4% annualizedMEDIUM

2026-09-13Retail Sales · cons +0.3% m/m · prior +0.1% m/mMEDIUM

2026-09-16FOMC Rate Decision + Press Conference · cons Rates unchanged · prior Rates unchangedHIGH

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Educational market intelligence only. Regime labels and strategy families are model output for context, not financial advice or a recommendation. Market data may be delayed or incomplete; the 2s10s curve input uses a neutral placeholder pending a live yield feed. Verify with your broker. Methodology.