MARKET REGIME · 2026-11-05

Today's market regime

LIVE + SAMPLE FIELDS · updated Thu, 05 Nov 2026 06:03:22 GMT

Trending Bullscore 77.44 · confidence 90%

Momentum up — bullish defined-risk structures fit; fading strength with long puts fights the tape.

VIX 20.83, trend 1, breadth 100%, 2s10s 0.2pp -> trending_bull (score 77.44, next best risk_on at 55.41).

Snapshot

VIX

20.83

-1.51%

US Dollar Index

121.67

-0.06%

SPY · S&P 500 ETF

766.81

+1.65%

QQQ · Nasdaq-100 ETF

691.95

+0.97%

IWM · Russell 2000 ETF

284.02

+1.51%

TLT · 20+ Year Treasury ET

81.76

+0.80%

WTI Crude Oil

70.68

-0.45%

Gold

2670.94

+0.79%

Bitcoin

101816.00

-2.10%

Strategy families that fit this regime

Educational context, not a recommendation. Every idea still needs its own liquidity, catalyst and risk check.

Tends to fit

  • ✓call debit spread
  • ✓put credit spread
  • ✓long call (small, per Kelly cap)

Tends to fight the tape

  • ⚠call credit spread
  • ⚠fading strength with long puts

Macro calendar (8)

2026-11-08Core PCE Price Index · cons +0.2% m/m · prior +0.2% m/mHIGH
2026-11-09CPI (Consumer Price Index) · cons +0.2% m/m · prior +0.3% m/mHIGH
2026-11-09Initial Jobless Claims · cons 225k · prior 222kLOW
2026-11-11Retail Sales · cons +0.3% m/m · prior +0.1% m/mMEDIUM
2026-11-12Nonfarm Payrolls (Jobs Report) · cons +165k · prior +180kHIGH
2026-11-1210-Year Treasury Note Auction · cons Bid-to-cover ~2.5x · prior 2.56xMEDIUM
2026-11-19GDP (Advance Estimate) · cons +2.1% annualized · prior +2.4% annualizedMEDIUM
2026-11-25FOMC Rate Decision + Press Conference · cons Rates unchanged · prior Rates unchangedHIGH
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Educational market intelligence only. Regime labels and strategy families are model output for context, not financial advice or a recommendation. Market data may be delayed or incomplete; the 2s10s curve input uses a neutral placeholder pending a live yield feed. Verify with your broker. Methodology.